Eelgrass, a marine plant crucial to the success of migrating juvenile salmon and spawning Pacific herring, is stable and flourishing in Puget Sound, despite a doubling of the region's human population and significant shoreline development over the past several decades.
The new findings, published online in November in the Journal of Ecology, draw on a unique 41-year dataset to show that across the Puget Sound basin, the eelgrass population is doing well. That means eelgrass die-offs at individual beaches are not pervasive enough to affect the overall population across the region.
"Our human population has exploded, we have all kinds of increasing impacts on Puget Sound, and yet eelgrass is resilient," said co-author Phil Levin, a University of Washington professor of practice and lead scientist at The Nature Conservancy. "It gives us hope about the ability to restore eelgrass. It tells us that what we do at the neighborhood scale matters, and we can have a positive impact."
The study's authors were able to analyze trends in eelgrass population over 41 years—the longest period ever recorded for this species in Puget Sound—by making use of shelved data that recorded more than 160,000 eelgrass observations dating back to the early 1970s.
The data were collected for another purpose altogether: monitoring herring populations in Puget Sound. The Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife has surveyed Pacific herring spawning sites across the Sound since the 1970s, returning each year to rake the seafloor, then record all of the plant and animal species present. Since herring lay their eggs on eelgrass, these plants were also recorded in surveys along with the number of eggs and other species present.
"One of the interesting things with this study is we have this dataset collected for something totally different being used in a new way," said lead author Ole Shelton, a research scientist with the Northwest Fisheries Science Center. "The value of the data is not in the most recent five or 10 years—it's being able to go back to 1975 and make a comment about eelgrass status at that time."
Student interns with the Puget Sound Institute at UW Tacoma manually digitized notebooks full of data, which then made the information accessible for complex modeling. The end result was a 41-year dataset of eelgrass observations covering more than 300 miles (500 km) of Puget Sound coastline. That's about 15 percent of the region's total shoreline.
The analysis also confirmed what researchers, local residents and fishermen have observed for years—eelgrass declines happen in localized areas, and one beach might be depleted while another shoreline close by is teeming with healthy eelgrass. Herring populations also show localized trends.
"I think this study is one more piece of evidence that when we are looking at Puget Sound recovery, we have to use multiple lenses," said co-author Tessa Francis, a UW ecologist at the Puget Sound Institute. "We have to look at what's happening broadly, and we also have to look at what is happening on individual pieces of the shoreline. What an individual person or jurisdiction does really matters for what is living near that shoreline."
The most obvious impacts on eelgrass are human disturbances such as placing moorings in the water, running a motorboat in shallow water or pulling up eelgrass. But other causes of eelgrass decline in Puget Sound are unknown. Scientists suspect many factors are at play, and those mechanisms are further complicated as the climate and ocean continue to warm.
"We are facing changing conditions, and eelgrass is found in a very sensitive fringe of Puget Sound that is going to change dramatically," Francis said.
This analysis could be useful to pair with local knowledge about what may have caused eelgrasses to decline at a particular beach, the researchers said.